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REC-30212Generated by margin-optimizer v2.4 · 4m ago
Raise floor on contract #4821
Contract #4821
Margin uplift
+0.5pp
+$9.7K/mo
Service impact
0.0pp
OTD-equivalent
Confidence
71%
decision threshold 60%
Risk-adjusted score
58
0–100 composite
ROI multiple
4.1x
vs implementation cost
Expiry
3d 02h
after which trajectory shifts
AI Rationale
why this recommendationCustomer elasticity model indicates 2 of 3 lanes inelastic to +4% rate increase; renewal window opens in 28d.
SHAP contributors
Lane elasticity low
+0.40
Renewal proximity
+0.20
Competitive bid risk
-0.10
Trajectory Impact
if accepted vs baseline14d projected
+0.5pp
Risk-adj
58/100
Expires
3d 02h
Counterfactual Comparison
alternative optionsOption
Margin
Service
Conf
+4% across 2 lanes
Targets inelastic lanes only.
+0.5pp
0.0pp
71%
+6% blanket
Risks loss of price-sensitive lane.
+0.8pp
0.0pp
52%
Constraint Compliance
policy & contractRenewal window open
opens in 28dChurn risk model ≤ 15%
9%Acceptance Workflow
human-in-the-loop + RLHF capture RLHF signal capture
Audit & Provenance
data → model → recommendationModel
margin-optimizer v2.4
Training cutoff
2025-05-12
Features used
48
Causal uplift method
DoubleML
Counterfactual sample
2,418 sims
Validator
constraint-suite v1.7
Linked alerts
ALR-9912, ALR-9898
Approver pool
Logistics Director, Finance