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REC-30217Generated by margin-optimizer v2.4 · 4m ago
Shift 12% volume to intermodal
Corridor: MID → SE
Margin uplift
+1.1pp
+$22.9K/mo
Service impact
-0.6pp
OTD-equivalent
Confidence
78%
decision threshold 60%
Risk-adjusted score
68
0–100 composite
ROI multiple
6.4x
vs implementation cost
Expiry
1d 06h
after which trajectory shifts
AI Rationale
why this recommendationDiesel forward curve +9% Q3; intermodal transit slack tolerable on 4 lanes per customer SLAs. Capacity confirmed with rail partners; cutover risk minimal.
SHAP contributors
Diesel forward +9%
+0.70
Intermodal capacity
+0.30
Transit time +1d
-0.20
Trajectory Impact
if accepted vs baseline14d projected
+1.1pp
Risk-adj
68/100
Expires
1d 06h
Counterfactual Comparison
alternative optionsOption
Margin
Service
Conf
Shift 12%
Balanced uplift and service preservation.
+1.1pp
-0.6pp
78%
Shift 25%
Higher savings, breaches OTD on 2 customers.
+1.9pp
-1.4pp
62%
Hedge fuel instead
No mode change but lower uplift.
+0.5pp
0.0pp
71%
Constraint Compliance
policy & contractCustomer OTD min
all SLAs ≥ 24h slackMode-shift cap 30%
12% well underAcceptance Workflow
human-in-the-loop + RLHF capture RLHF signal capture
Audit & Provenance
data → model → recommendationModel
margin-optimizer v2.4
Training cutoff
2025-05-12
Features used
48
Causal uplift method
DoubleML
Counterfactual sample
2,418 sims
Validator
constraint-suite v1.7
Linked alerts
ALR-9912, ALR-9898
Approver pool
Logistics Director, Finance