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REC-30220Generated by margin-optimizer v2.4 · 4m ago
Renegotiate detention with ARX
Carrier ARX
Margin uplift
+1.4pp
+$31.6K/mo
Service impact
0.0pp
OTD-equivalent
Confidence
87%
decision threshold 60%
Risk-adjusted score
79
0–100 composite
ROI multiple
9.8x
vs implementation cost
Expiry
11h 04m
after which trajectory shifts
AI Rationale
why this recommendationARX detention frequency 3.1x peer median; contract clause 7.b explicitly enables renegotiation when >2σ above market. Counter-offer of $35/hr (vs $52) is within ARX historical concession range (p72).
SHAP contributors
Detention freq 3.1x peer
+0.80
Clause 7.b enforceable
+0.40
ARX margin tolerance
+0.20
Trajectory Impact
if accepted vs baseline14d projected
+1.4pp
Risk-adj
79/100
Expires
11h 04m
Counterfactual Comparison
alternative optionsOption
Margin
Service
Conf
Counter at $35/hr
Within concession range, low conflict risk.
+1.4pp
0.0pp
87%
Counter at $28/hr aggressive
Higher uplift; risks tender rejection.
+2.1pp
-0.4pp
61%
Re-tier ARX to backup
Reduces exposure; capacity hit on 4 lanes.
+1.8pp
-0.9pp
68%
Constraint Compliance
policy & contractCarrier relationship score ≥ 70
78Notice period
n/aAcceptance Workflow
human-in-the-loop + RLHF capture RLHF signal capture
Audit & Provenance
data → model → recommendationModel
margin-optimizer v2.4
Training cutoff
2025-05-12
Features used
48
Causal uplift method
DoubleML
Counterfactual sample
2,418 sims
Validator
constraint-suite v1.7
Linked alerts
ALR-9912, ALR-9898
Approver pool
Logistics Director, Finance